Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LRC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-19 0.103451 0.122654 0.144151 0.169957 0.200056 0.234010 0.275176
2025-01-26 0.075177 0.100319 0.131642 0.173355 0.227249 0.294319 0.383877
2025-02-02 0.058330 0.085527 0.122400 0.175652 0.250115 0.349994 0.493453
2025-02-09 0.046807 0.074318 0.114363 0.176231 0.268568 0.400232 0.600851
2025-02-16 0.039090 0.066547 0.109065 0.178698 0.288593 0.453662 0.718056
2025-02-23 0.034193 0.061944 0.107339 0.185603 0.315301 0.519123 0.859971
2025-03-02 0.028134 0.054121 0.098935 0.180084 0.320948 0.551961 0.954242
2025-03-09 0.024216 0.049227 0.094490 0.180194 0.335334 0.599703 1.077051
2025-03-16 0.020652 0.044271 0.089035 0.177480 0.344066 0.638385 1.188187
2025-03-23 0.018559 0.041765 0.087639 0.181842 0.365745 0.701374 1.347700
2025-03-30 0.016146 0.038136 0.083463 0.180156 0.375687 0.744046 1.474742
2025-04-06 0.013835 0.034280 0.078191 0.175431 0.378940 0.774334 1.581483
2025-04-13 0.011766 0.030617 0.072838 0.169946 0.380349 0.802005 1.687852
2025-04-20 0.010696 0.029102 0.071929 0.173861 0.401718 0.871211 1.883202
2025-04-27 0.009657 0.027458 0.070457 0.176284 0.420151 0.936361 2.077024
2025-05-04 0.008642 0.025668 0.068343 0.176894 0.434594 0.994623 2.262368
2025-05-11 0.007857 0.024333 0.067108 0.179375 0.453514 1.064222 2.478442
2025-05-18 0.007377 0.023751 0.067668 0.186306 0.483589 1.161053 2.762707
2025-05-25 0.006392 0.021498 0.063523 0.180768 0.483141 1.189766 2.899103
2025-06-01 0.005764 0.020182 0.061668 0.180879 0.496511 1.251212 3.115244
2025-06-08 0.005108 0.018635 0.058910 0.178155 0.502360 1.295620 3.296202
2025-06-15 0.004764 0.018030 0.058745 0.182532 0.527054 1.387283 3.596878
2025-06-22 0.004269 0.016804 0.056548 0.180840 0.535471 1.440142 3.809295